Time Series Forecast Study with Python: Monthly Sales of French Champagne
Last Updated on May 18, 2020
Time series forecasting is a process, and the only way to get good forecasts is to practice this process.
In this tutorial, you will discover how to forecast the monthly sales of French champagne with Python.
Working through this tutorial will provide you with a framework for the steps and the tools for working through your own time series forecasting problems.
After completing this tutorial, you will know:
- How to confirm your Python environment and carefully define a time series forecasting problem.
- How to create a test harness for evaluating models, develop a baseline forecast, and better understand your problem with the tools of time series analysis.
- How to develop an autoregressive integrated moving average model, save it to file, and later load it to make predictions for new time steps.
Kick-start your project with my new book Time Series Forecasting With Python, including step-by-step tutorials and the Python source code files for all examples.
Let’s get started.
- Update Mar/2017: Fixed a typo in the code example in the “Review Residual Errors” section where the wrong model was run.
- Updated Apr/2019: Updated the link to dataset.
- Updated Aug/2019: Updated data loading
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